ARIMA Ara\u015ft\u0131rma & Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k\u2019\u0131n son anketi, CTP ile UBP aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n 8,5 puana indi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
ARIMA Ara\u015ft\u0131rma & Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k\u2019\u0131n son anketine g\u00f6re, May\u0131s-Eyl\u00fcl 2026\u2019da Cumhuriyet\u00e7i T\u00fcrk Partisi (CTP) 1. s\u0131radaki yerini koruyor; ancak Ulusal Birlik Partisi (UBP) oy oran\u0131n\u0131 7,5 puan art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Toplumcu Demokrasi Partisi (TDP) y\u00fczde 7,4 ile 3. s\u0131raya y\u00fckseldi. CTP\u2019nin gerilemesine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k TDP\u2019nin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi, 2 partinin toplam deste\u011findeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ise durdurmad\u0131. 6 Aral\u0131k se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde siyasi partilere y\u00f6nelik tercihleri g\u00f6steren ARIMA Ara\u015ft\u0131rma & Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k verilerinde, CTP ile UBP aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n darald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Buna g\u00f6re, may\u0131sta y\u00fczde 49,3 olan CTP\u2019nin oy oran\u0131 eyl\u00fclde y\u00fczde 39,7\u2019ye gerilerken; UBP ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde y\u00fczde 23,7\u2019den y\u00fczde 31,2\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. Anketin may\u0131s-eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131nda CTP\u2019nin 1.\u2019li\u011fini korudu\u011fu, UBP\u2019nin ise serideki b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmlerde oy oran\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. 2 parti aras\u0131ndaki fark eyl\u00fclde 8,5 puana indi.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
UBP 5 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm boyunca y\u00fckseldi<\/p>\n
UBP\u2019nin may\u0131sta y\u00fczde 23,7 olan oran\u0131 haziranda y\u00fczde 26,9\u2019a, temmuzda y\u00fczde 27,5\u2019e ve a\u011fustosta y\u00fczde 28,1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.
\nEyl\u00fclde y\u00fczde 31,2\u2019ye ula\u015fan parti, 5 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde toplam 7,5 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f kaydetti.
\nCTP\u2019nin oran\u0131 ise may\u0131staki y\u00fczde 49,3\u2019ten haziranda y\u00fczde 47,2\u2019ye, temmuzda y\u00fczde 44,4\u2019e ve a\u011fustosta y\u00fczde 43,4\u2019e geriledi. Eyl\u00fclde y\u00fczde 39,7 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen destek, may\u0131sa g\u00f6re 9,6 puanl\u0131k kayba kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geldi.
\nBu de\u011fi\u015fimle CTP\u2019nin 1.\u2019lik avantaj\u0131 devam ederken, UBP ile aras\u0131ndaki mesafe \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azald\u0131.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
CTP gerilerken TDP g\u00fc\u00e7lendi<\/p>\n
TDP, may\u0131sta y\u00fczde 4 olan oran\u0131n\u0131 eyl\u00fclde y\u00fczde 7,4\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kararak \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131raya yerle\u015fti.
\nPartinin d\u00f6nem boyunca kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 3,4 puan, CTP\u2019nin ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemdeki 9,6 puanl\u0131k kayb\u0131yla birlikte de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, 2 parti aras\u0131ndaki destek dengesinin TDP lehine de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu de\u011fi\u015fim a\u011fustos-eyl\u00fcl kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131nda daha belirgin hale geldi. CTP\u2019nin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 43,4\u2019ten y\u00fczde 39,7\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015ferken, TDP\u2019nin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 5\u2019ten y\u00fczde 7,4\u2019e y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6ylece CTP bir ayda 3,7 puan kaybederken TDP 2,4 puan kazand\u0131; ancak TDP\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015fi, CTP\u2019deki kayb\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131. 2 partinin toplam oran\u0131 may\u0131staki y\u00fczde 53,3\u2019ten eyl\u00fclde y\u00fczde 47,1\u2019e geriledi. Veriler, TDP\u2019nin bu iki parti aras\u0131ndaki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyarken, toplam destekte 6,2 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer partilerin eyl\u00fcl tablosu<\/p>\n
Yeniden Do\u011fu\u015f Partisi\u2019nin (YDP) may\u0131sta y\u00fczde 7,2, haziranda y\u00fczde 7,6 olan oran\u0131, a\u011fustosta y\u00fczde 6,5 ve eyl\u00fclde y\u00fczde 4,1 olarak kaydedildi. \u00d6zellikle a\u011fustostan eyl\u00fcle ya\u015fanan 2,4 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, 30 A\u011fustos\u2019ta Girne a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131nda meydana gelen gemi facias\u0131 ve sonras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan siyasi geli\u015fmelerle ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geldi.
\nEyl\u00fcl \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fcnde Demokrat Parti (DP) y\u00fczde 5,1, Halk\u0131n Partisi (HP) y\u00fczde 4,3, Toplumsal Adalet ve M\u00fccadele Partisi (TAM Parti) y\u00fczde 2,3 ve Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k Yolu y\u00fczde 1,6 d\u00fczeyinde yer ald\u0131. \u201cDi\u011fer-karars\u0131z\u201d kategorisinin oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 4,3 oldu. Bu ba\u015fl\u0131k, yaln\u0131zca karars\u0131z se\u00e7menleri ifade etmiyor.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Liderlik yar\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile h\u00fck\u00fcmet hesab\u0131 ayr\u0131<\/p>\n
Eyl\u00fcl oranlar\u0131 aritmetik olarak topland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda UBP ile DP y\u00fczde 36,3\u2019e, bu 2 partiye YDP de eklendi\u011finde y\u00fczde 40,4\u2019e ula\u015f\u0131yor. CTP ile TDP\u2019nin toplam\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 47,1 oluyor. Bu toplamlar, kesinle\u015fmi\u015f bir ittifak\u0131 veya milletvekili da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermiyor. Oy s\u0131ralamas\u0131yla h\u00fck\u00fcmeti olu\u015fturacak meclis \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu se\u00e7ime yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a ayr\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeler gerektiriyor. Se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 h\u00fck\u00fcmetin olu\u015fumu, partilerin \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131 milletvekili say\u0131s\u0131na ve aralar\u0131nda sa\u011flanacak siyasi uzla\u015fmaya ba\u011fl\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
ARIMA Ara\u015ft\u0131rma & Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k\u2019\u0131n son anketi, CTP ile UBP aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n 8,5 puana indi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. ARIMA Ara\u015ft\u0131rma & Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k\u2019\u0131n son anketine g\u00f6re, May\u0131s-Eyl\u00fcl 2026\u2019da Cumhuriyet\u00e7i T\u00fcrk Partisi (CTP) 1. s\u0131radaki yerini koruyor; ancak Ulusal Birlik Partisi (UBP) oy oran\u0131n\u0131 7,5 puan art\u0131rd\u0131. Toplumcu Demokrasi Partisi (TDP) y\u00fczde 7,4 ile 3. s\u0131raya y\u00fckseldi. CTP\u2019nin gerilemesine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":53157,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53156","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kibris"],"yoast_head":"\n