{"id":50094,"date":"2026-10-04T10:02:10","date_gmt":"2026-10-04T07:02:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberverkibris.com\/?p=50094"},"modified":"2026-10-04T10:02:10","modified_gmt":"2026-10-04T07:02:10","slug":"siyasi-dengeler-degisiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberverkibris.com\/index.php\/2026\/10\/04\/siyasi-dengeler-degisiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Siyasi dengeler de\u011fi\u015fiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Demo Ajans koordinasyonunda 6 Aral\u0131k se\u00e7imlerine y\u00f6nelik yap\u0131lan anket, CTP ile UBP aras\u0131ndaki yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n yak\u0131n seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Demo Ajans koordinasyonunda, 6 Aral\u0131k se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi\u011fi belirtilen saha ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131nda Cumhuriyet\u00e7i T\u00fcrk Partisi (CTP) ile Ulusal Birlik Partisi (UBP) aras\u0131ndaki fark, 4,4 puan olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Karars\u0131zlar da\u011f\u0131t\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra CTP y\u00fczde 37,5, UBP ise y\u00fczde 33,1 oy oran\u0131na ula\u015f\u0131rken; y\u00fczde 13,1\u2019lik karars\u0131z se\u00e7men kitlesi, se\u00e7im yar\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fkenlerden biri olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>28 Eyl\u00fcl-1 Ekim 2026\u2019da KKTC genelindeki 6 il\u00e7ede 814 se\u00e7menle y\u00fcz y\u00fcze ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen \u201c6 Aral\u0131k 2026 Genel Se\u00e7imleri Saha Ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131\u201dnda CTP ile UBP aras\u0131ndaki yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n yak\u0131n seyretti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ki parti aras\u0131nda 3,8 puanl\u0131k ham fark<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Karars\u0131zlar da\u011f\u0131t\u0131lmadan \u00f6nce CTP y\u00fczde 32,5 ile ilk s\u0131rada yer al\u0131rken, UBP y\u00fczde 28,7 ile ikinci s\u0131rada \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. B\u00f6ylece iki parti aras\u0131ndaki ham oy fark\u0131 3,8 puan olarak kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p>Ara\u015ft\u0131rmada karars\u0131zlar\u0131n oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 13,1 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Yeniden Do\u011fu\u015f Partisi (YDP) ise y\u00fczde 11,3 ile \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Karars\u0131zlar da\u011f\u0131t\u0131l\u0131nca fark 4,4 puan<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Karars\u0131z se\u00e7menlerin mevcut oy oranlar\u0131na g\u00f6re da\u011f\u0131t\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 hesaplamada CTP y\u00fczde 37,5, UBP ise y\u00fczde 33,1 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. B\u00f6ylece iki b\u00fcy\u00fck parti aras\u0131ndaki fark 4,4 puan oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 hesaplamada YDP y\u00fczde 13 ile \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada yer al\u0131rken, Toplumcu Demokrasi Partisi (TDP) y\u00fczde 4,7, Demokrat Parti (DP) y\u00fczde 4,4, Halk\u0131n Partisi (HP) y\u00fczde 3,3, Toplumsal Adalet ve M\u00fccadele Partisi (TAM) y\u00fczde 1,3 ve di\u011fer partiler y\u00fczde 2,9 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130skele\u2019de UBP \u00f6nde<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u0130l\u00e7e sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re CTP Lefko\u015fa, Gazima\u011fusa, Girne, G\u00fczelyurt ve Lefke\u2019de ilk s\u0131rada \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcrken, \u0130skele\u2019de tablo tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc. \u0130skele\u2019de UBP\u2019nin oy oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 30,8, CTP\u2019nin oy oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 29 olarak kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sim\u00fclasyonda CTP 23, UBP 20 milletvekili \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ara\u015ft\u0131rmada yer verilen milletvekili sim\u00fclasyonuna g\u00f6re CTP\u2019nin 23, UBP\u2019nin 20, YDP\u2019nin ise 7 milletvekili \u00e7\u0131karabilece\u011fi hesapland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Bu sim\u00fclasyonda hi\u00e7bir parti tek ba\u015f\u0131na h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurmak i\u00e7in gerekli 26 sandalyeye ula\u015fam\u0131yor. Ara\u015ft\u0131rma, 28 Eyl\u00fcl-1 Ekim\u2019de 6 il\u00e7ede, il\u00e7e, cinsiyet, ya\u015f ve e\u011fitim kotalar\u0131 uygulanarak tabakal\u0131 \u00f6rnekleme y\u00f6ntemiyle 814 ki\u015fiyle y\u00fcz y\u00fcze ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi. Raporda hata pay\u0131 \u00b1 y\u00fczde 2, g\u00fcven aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 95 olarak belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Sonu\u00e7lar, ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi\u011fi tarihlerde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fclen se\u00e7menlerin tercihlerini yans\u0131t\u0131yor; se\u00e7im sonucuna ili\u015fkin bir tahmin niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Demo Ajans koordinasyonunda 6 Aral\u0131k se\u00e7imlerine y\u00f6nelik yap\u0131lan anket, CTP ile UBP aras\u0131ndaki yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n yak\u0131n seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor \u00a0 Demo Ajans koordinasyonunda, 6 Aral\u0131k se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi\u011fi belirtilen saha ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131nda Cumhuriyet\u00e7i T\u00fcrk Partisi (CTP) ile Ulusal Birlik Partisi (UBP) aras\u0131ndaki fark, 4,4 puan olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. Karars\u0131zlar da\u011f\u0131t\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra CTP y\u00fczde 37,5, UBP ise y\u00fczde 33,1 oy [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":50095,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50094","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kibris"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Siyasi dengeler de\u011fi\u015fiyor - Haber Ver K\u0131br\u0131s<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/haberverkibris.com\/index.php\/2026\/10\/04\/siyasi-dengeler-degisiyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Siyasi dengeler de\u011fi\u015fiyor - Haber Ver K\u0131br\u0131s\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Demo Ajans koordinasyonunda 6 Aral\u0131k se\u00e7imlerine y\u00f6nelik yap\u0131lan anket, CTP ile UBP aras\u0131ndaki yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n yak\u0131n seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor \u00a0 Demo Ajans koordinasyonunda, 6 Aral\u0131k se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi\u011fi belirtilen saha ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131nda Cumhuriyet\u00e7i T\u00fcrk Partisi (CTP) ile Ulusal Birlik Partisi (UBP) aras\u0131ndaki fark, 4,4 puan olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. 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