<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\n\tMeteoroloji Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc (MGM) verilerine g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye’de a\u011fustos ay\u0131 ortalama s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 25,7 dereceyle 1991-2020 normallerinin 0,6 derece \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. 2026 a\u011fustos ay\u0131, son 56 y\u0131l\u0131n en s\u0131cak 16’nc\u0131 a\u011fustosu olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n
\n\tYaz\u0131n di\u011fer iki ay\u0131 da benzer bir tablo \u00e7izdi. Temmuz ay\u0131 ortalama s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 25,3 dereceyle normallerinin 0,3 derece \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ferek en s\u0131cak 19’uncu temmuz, haziran ay\u0131 ortalama s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise 22,3 dereceyle normallerinin 0,5 derece \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ferek en s\u0131cak 11’inci haziran oldu.<\/p>\n
\n\tCopernicus \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Servisine g\u00f6re A\u011fustos 2026, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte 1991-2020 ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n 0,85 derece, sanayi \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6nemin ise 1,65 derece \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ferek en s\u0131cak a\u011fustos olmas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Temmuz 2023 ile birlikte kay\u0131tlardaki en s\u0131cak ay olarak tespit edildi. Haziran 2026, ikinci en s\u0131cak haziran, Temmuz 2026 ise ikinci en s\u0131cak temmuz olmu\u015ftu. K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte 2026 yaz mevsimi de 2024 ile birlikte kay\u0131tlardaki en s\u0131cak yaz oldu.<\/p>\n
\n\tYaz mevsiminde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 s\u0131caklarla m\u00fccadele eden Avrupa’n\u0131n bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkesinde s\u0131cakl\u0131klar rekor d\u00fczeyde seyretti. Bat\u0131 Avrupa 1991-2020 ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n 2,54 derece \u00fczerinde bir s\u0131cakl\u0131kla 2003’\u00fcn rekorunu geride b\u0131rakarak en s\u0131cak yaz mevsimini ya\u015farken, k\u0131ta genelinde 2024 ve 2022’nin ard\u0131ndan en s\u0131cak \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc yaz mevsimi kaydedildi. Fransa, \u0130ngiltere, \u0130rlanda, Hollanda, Bel\u00e7ika, \u0130spanya, Avusturya ve \u0130svi\u00e7re, tarihlerindeki en s\u0131cak yaz\u0131 ge\u00e7irdi.<\/p>\n
\n\tABD’de de Bat\u0131 Avrupa ile benzer bir tablo ya\u015fand\u0131. Ulusal Okyanus ve Atmosfer \u0130daresi (NOAA), 2026 yaz\u0131n\u0131 \u00fclke tarihinde kaydedilen “en s\u0131cak yaz” d\u00f6nemi olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
\n\tProf. Dr. Kad\u0131o\u011flu, \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n ortalamas\u0131 al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye’de 2026 yaz mevsiminin ortalama s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 24,4 dereceyle 1991-2020 yaz normali olan 24 derecenin 0,4 derece \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\n\tKad\u0131o\u011flu, \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/p>\n
\n\t“Bu de\u011fer, 2026 yaz\u0131n\u0131 1971’den bu yana tutulan 56 y\u0131ll\u0131k kay\u0131tlarda en s\u0131cak yazlar s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda 13 ile 15’inci s\u0131raya yerle\u015ftiriyor. Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma i\u00e7in 2024 yaz\u0131 26,1 dereceyle son 56 y\u0131l\u0131n en s\u0131cak yaz\u0131, 2025 yaz\u0131 ise 25,5 dereceyle en s\u0131cak ikinci yaz\u0131 olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7mi\u015fti. Di\u011fer bir deyi\u015fle, 2026 yaz\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki yaza g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 derece daha serin ge\u00e7ti. MGM’nin resmi mevsimlik yaz de\u011ferlendirmesi yay\u0131mlan\u0131nca kesin s\u0131ralama netle\u015fecek. Yaz serin ba\u015flad\u0131, sonuna do\u011fru \u0131s\u0131nd\u0131 ama ba\u015ftan sona cehennem olmad\u0131. \u00dc\u00e7 ay\u0131n hi\u00e7biri ilk 10’a giremedi. S\u0131cakl\u0131klar mevsim normallerinin biraz \u00fczerinde ama bir \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131n \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.”<\/p>\n
\n\tYaz d\u00f6neminde ger\u00e7ek anormalli\u011fin s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n kendisinde de\u011fil, co\u011frafi da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131nda ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Kad\u0131o\u011flu, normal ko\u015fullarda ya\u015fanan s\u0131cak bir yaz d\u00f6neminde Akdeniz havzas\u0131n\u0131n bir b\u00fct\u00fcn olarak \u0131s\u0131nmas\u0131 beklenirken, bu kez b\u00f6yle bir durum ya\u015fanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
\n\tKad\u0131o\u011flu, “Copernicus’a g\u00f6re, \u0130ngiltere’nin kuzeybat\u0131s\u0131na yerle\u015fen inat\u00e7\u0131 bir y\u00fcksek bas\u0131n\u00e7, Kuzey Afrika k\u00f6kenli s\u0131cak havay\u0131 bat\u0131ya \u00e7ekti, kutup k\u00f6kenli serin havay\u0131 do\u011fuya sapt\u0131rd\u0131 ve Bat\u0131 Avrupa 3-5 derece fazla \u0131s\u0131n\u0131rken s\u0131cakl\u0131klar Do\u011fu Avrupa ve \u0130skandinavya’da normalin alt\u0131na indi, T\u00fcrkiye’de ise mevsim normalleri civar\u0131nda kald\u0131. Veriler, d\u00fcnya genelindeki ortalama s\u0131cakl\u0131klarla k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye’nin belirgin bi\u00e7imde daha serin bir yaz mevsimi ge\u00e7irdi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Copernicus’un haritalar\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye’nin \u00f6zellikle do\u011fu kesimleri yaz boyunca normalin hafif\u00e7e alt\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
\n\t“Ya\u011f\u0131\u015f azl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile kurakl\u0131k ayn\u0131 \u015fey de\u011fildir”<\/strong><\/p>\n \n\tYaz d\u00f6neminin El Nino’nun do\u011fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir yaz oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatan Kad\u0131o\u011flu, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2025 yaz mevsiminin El Nino’nun hen\u00fcz olgunla\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2026 yaz\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 derece daha s\u0131cak ge\u00e7ti\u011fini, bunun da “S\u00fcper El Nino olursa yaz mutlaka daha s\u0131cak olur” iddias\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yorumunu yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n \n\tKad\u0131o\u011flu, El Nino’nun do\u011frudan, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve tekrarlanabilir etkisinin G\u00fcney Amerika’n\u0131n Pasifik k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131, Avustralya, Endonezya, Hint musonu, Afrika’n\u0131n g\u00fcneyi ve ABD’nin g\u00fcneyi gibi yerlerde oldu\u011funu ve bu \u00e7ekirdek haritada bulunmayan T\u00fcrkiye’nin baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerinde baz\u0131 aylarda istatistiksel El Nino izlerinin g\u00f6r\u00fclebildi\u011fine de\u011findi.<\/p>\n \n\tT\u00fcrkiye’de 2026’n\u0131n bu d\u00f6nemine kadar kurak ko\u015fullar\u0131n de\u011fil, ya\u011f\u0131\u015fl\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131n etkili oldu\u011funa dikkati \u00e7eken Kad\u0131o\u011flu, “Ya\u011f\u0131\u015f azl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile kurakl\u0131k ayn\u0131 \u015fey de\u011fildir. Meteorolojik, tar\u0131msal ve hidrolojik kurakl\u0131k ayr\u0131 ayr\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilir. As\u0131l haber buradad\u0131r ki 66 y\u0131l\u0131n en ya\u011f\u0131\u015fl\u0131 su y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonunda \u0130stanbul ve Ankara barajlar\u0131 a\u011fustosta y\u00fczde 40’lara inmi\u015ftir. Tek c\u00fcmleyle, 66 y\u0131l\u0131n en ya\u011f\u0131\u015fl\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131nda baraj\u0131 yar\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015fen bir \u015fehrin sorunu meteoroloji de\u011fil, su y\u00f6netimidir.” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n \n\tSonbahar d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerini payla\u015fan Kad\u0131o\u011flu, Akdeniz’deki rekor deniz suyu s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle yaz mevsiminin uzayabilece\u011fini, sonbahar\u0131n ge\u00e7 ve \u0131l\u0131k ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n \n\tCopernicus’a g\u00f6re a\u011fustosta kutup d\u0131\u015f\u0131 okyanuslar\u0131n y\u00fczey s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 21,07 dereceyle bu ay i\u00e7in kay\u0131tlardaki en y\u00fcksek de\u011fere ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilgisini payla\u015fan Kad\u0131o\u011flu, rekor deniz y\u00fczeyi s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n Avrupa’n\u0131n Atlantik k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131nda ve Bat\u0131 Akdeniz’de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n \n\tKad\u0131o\u011flu, s\u0131cak deniz ile so\u011fuk hava giri\u015finin bulu\u015fmas\u0131yla T\u00fcrkiye’de ani kuvvetli sa\u011fanak ve sel riskinin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n \n\t2026’n\u0131n d\u00fcnya genelinde en s\u0131cak ilk 3 y\u0131l aras\u0131nda olabilece\u011fini dile getiren Kad\u0131o\u011flu, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulundu:<\/p>\n \n\t“2026’n\u0131n en s\u0131cak y\u0131l olma ihtimali ger\u00e7ek bir ihtimaldir ama garanti de\u011fildir. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda 2026 asl\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131radayd\u0131, 2024 ve 2025’in gerisindeydi. De\u011fi\u015fim temmuz ve a\u011fustosta oldu. A\u011fustos 2026, sanayi \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6neme g\u00f6re 1,65 dereceyle y\u0131l\u0131n 1,5 derece e\u015fi\u011fini a\u015fan ilk ay\u0131 oldu ve Copernicus’a g\u00f6re ocak-a\u011fustos ortalamas\u0131yla 2026, 2025’i ge\u00e7erek 2024’\u00fcn hemen ard\u0131nda ikinci s\u0131raya y\u00fckseldi. Rekor olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 84’\u00fc tek ba\u015f\u0131na El Nino tahminindeki de\u011fi\u015fimden kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. As\u0131l rekor aday\u0131 2027’dir. Carbon Brief 2027 i\u00e7in 1,71 derece ve y\u00fczde 92 olas\u0131l\u0131kla yeni s\u0131cakl\u0131k rekoru vermektedir. D\u00fcnya Meteoroloji \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k g\u00fcncellemesinde 2026 sonundaki El Nino’nun 2027’nin rekor k\u0131rma \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilmektedir.”<\/p>\n\n\t“Rekor 2027’de gelebilir”<\/h2>\n